Bubble or Opportunity? Stock Talk Tuesday with Dan Frio

Bubble or Opportunity? Stock Talk Tuesday with Dan Frio

Stock Talk Tuesday — Top 5 Watch List

Prepared: Oct 14, 2025 • 04:41 PM
Legend:Investment / CoreTrade / TacticalSpeculative / ThemeGreen % = Positive return • Red % = Negative return

Performance & Fundamentals (Reordered Snapshot)

CompanyP/E (TTM)EPS (TTM)6‑Month %1‑Year %Latest EPS (Actual vs Est.)Latest Revenue (Actual vs Est.)Previous Quarter
Palantir (PLTR)~797×$0.30+86.5%+298.0%$0.16 vs $0.14 (beat)$1.00B vs ~$0.94B (beat)
Oklo (OKLO)n/m (loss‑making)n/a+649.9%+1,584%−$0.18 (latest reported)n/a
Nebius (NBIS)~167×$0.77+49.8%+143.1%−$0.38 vs −$0.41 (beat)$105.1M vs ~$98.7M (beat)
NVIDIA (NVDA)~54×$3.54+63.9%+31.4%Adj. $1.05 vs $1.01 (beat)$46.7B vs ~$46.5B (beat)Prior rev: $44.1B
Seagate (STX)~30×$6.8–$6.9+197.5%+94.7%Non‑GAAP $2.59 (beat)$2.44B vs ~$2.42–$2.45B (slight beat)

PLTR — Palantir Technologies Trade / Momentum

Drivers: AI & data analytics; US gov/defense and commercial expansion.

Risks: Rich valuation, contract concentration, execution risk.

Commentary: Long runway if execution continues; prefer buying pullbacks and sizing conservatively.

OKLO — Oklo Inc. Speculative / Theme

Drivers: Advanced nuclear for AI/data‑center power.

Risks: Regulatory timelines, capital intensity, no/limited revenue, volatility.

Commentary: Treat as a theme bet; not a core position.

NBIS — Nebius Group N.V. Trade / Tactical

Drivers: AI infrastructure build; GPU/data‑center services.

Risks: Profitability durability, scaling complexity, valuation sensitivity.

Commentary: Attractive momentum with execution caveats; consider tactical exposure.

NVDA — NVIDIA Investment / Core

Drivers: GPU leadership for AI training & inference; strong margins and ecosystem.

Risks: Premium multiple, supply/geopolitical/regulatory exposure.

Commentary: Core AI compute exposure with real earnings power.

STX — Seagate Technology Investment / Cyclical

Drivers: AI‑driven storage demand; pricing power; margin expansion.

Risks: Hardware cyclicality; supply‑demand swings.

Commentary: Picks‑and‑shovels play; expect volatility but supported by fundamentals.

Note: Figures reflect our latest working snapshot for show prep. Edit any cells inline after opening the file. Add sources/footnotes as needed.

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