Shutdown Shake-Up: Should You BUY, SELL, or HOLD Stocks, Bonds & Real Estate?

Shutdown Shake-Up: Should You BUY, SELL, or HOLD Stocks, Bonds & Real Estate?

Shutdowns, Staying the Course & Dollar‑Cost Averaging

Stock Talk Tuesday — Education for New & Early‑Stage Investors

1) Government Shutdowns & Markets

Key message: Volatility ≠ Collapse. Shutdowns historically end; markets often normalize. Focus on a long‑term plan instead of headline‑driven trades.

Investor Lesson: Short‑term trading during political flare‑ups often leads to mistakes: panic selling, chasing bounces, or missing the recovery. A rules‑based plan beats impulse.
Chart below is illustrative (simulated), designed to show that temporary shocks occur along a generally rising long‑term trend.
Illustrative: Short-Term Shocks vs. Long-Term Trend

2) Stay the Course with a Monthly Budget

Pick a number you will invest every month — no matter what headlines say. Automate it. This is the core of a durable plan for new investors.

  • Rule #1: Decide your monthly amount and automate it on the same day each month.
  • Rule #2: Use broad, low‑cost funds (e.g., total market or S&P 500 index).
  • Rule #3: Revisit the plan annually, not daily.

3) Dollar‑Cost Averaging (DCA) — 20‑Year Illustration

This example shows investing a fixed amount monthly into a broad equity index for 20 years. The solid line is your portfolio; the dashed line is your total contributions. Simulated data, for education only.

Illustrative: DCA Growth Over 20 Years

Assumptions: $500/month, 8% avg annual return, 18% annual volatility.

Why DCA helps: It reduces the risk of “bad timing” by spreading purchases across market cycles. You buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when prices are high.

Illustrative outcomes: Total contributions = $120,000, Ending value = $343,065, Gain = $223,065 (simulated).

4) Live DCA Calculator

Adjust the assumptions to show how a rules‑based monthly plan compounds over time. (All calculations happen in your browser.)





Run Simulation

5) Practical Checklist for New Investors

  • Write down your monthly investing amount and automate it.
  • Choose a broad, low‑cost fund (S&P 500 / Total Market).
  • Rebalance once per year.
  • Keep 3–6 months of expenses in cash so you don’t have to sell during volatility.
  • Ignore headlines. Focus on your 5–10+ year horizon.
Educational use only. The simulated charts and calculator are not predictions or guarantees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider consulting a financial professional for personalized advice.

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