This Week in the Markets: Volatility, Mortgage Rates, and What Comes Next

From strong economic data to sudden selloffs and a late-week rebound, markets delivered whiplash. Here’s a clear breakdown of the key moves, why mortgage rates held firm, and what data could drive the next shift.

Week in Review & What’s Ahead

Mortgage rates first • Markets second • Clear client guidance (Live: 1:00 PM CT)

Friday, February 06, 2026
Updated data: 2/6
10Y: 4.2174%

Mortgage Rates (Today)

Source: Mortgage News Daily (Daily Rate Survey)
30-Year Fixed
6.15%
Conventional • national daily index
15-Year Fixed
5.72%
Conventional • national daily index
FHA (30Y)
5.75%
FHA • national daily index
VA (30Y)
5.77%
VA • national daily index

Market Pulse (Live)

Dow • S&P 500 • Nasdaq • Bitcoin
Dow Jones
49,858.52
Risk appetite returned
S&P 500
6,902.54
Broad bounce
Nasdaq
22,934.05
Tech-sensitive
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)
71,076.12
Volatility gauge • +6.57%
Core message: stocks & crypto swung wildly, but mortgage rates stayed comparatively steady.

Reality Check: What Changed Since Tuesday?

Fundamentals didn’t break — sentiment & positioning did.
Fundamentals Still Holding
STABILITY
  • Corporate earnings: still there (no big fundamental shock)
  • Credit markets: functioning (not a “freeze”)
  • Bond bid returned: buyers stepped back into Treasuries
  • Mortgage rates: stayed relatively steady vs. risk assets
What Drove the Whiplash
VOLATILITY
  • Positioning unwind: crowded trades got hit
  • “AI bubble?” narrative: headline pressure + fear
  • Systematic de-risking: volatility amplifies moves
  • Re-entry bounce: dip buyers + short-covering

TRU Client Guidance

What we tell buyers & homeowners when markets whip around.
Homebuyers
LOCK / FLOAT
  • Match strategy to timeline: closings soon → reduce risk
  • Payment-first: make the deal work at today’s payment
  • Don’t chase intraday: watch bonds/MBS for confirmation
  • Win on structure: credits, concessions, and program choice
Homeowners
REFI / EQUITY
  • Meaningful savings: ignore tiny moves — target real value
  • Debt strategy: compare consolidation vs. waiting
  • Equity tools: HELOC vs cash-out vs hold
  • RateWatch alerts: automate your target rate monitoring

What We’re Watching Next Week

High-impact releases + Fed speakers (week of Feb 9)
DateTime (ET)EventWhy it matters
Wed, Feb 118:30 AMEmployment Situation (Jan) — rescheduled releaseBiggest driver for Fed expectations and rates.
Thu, Feb 128:30 AMInitial Jobless ClaimsWeekly labor trend check (watch for acceleration).
Fri, Feb 138:30 AMCPI (Jan) — rescheduled releaseInflation print can move bonds and mortgage pricing fast.
Note: PPI’s next scheduled release is later in the month (not next week).Watch list: Fed speakers + any surprise shutdown/calendar changes.
The Rate Update (TRU Mortgage Team) • Educational market commentary — not financial, legal, or tax advice.
Mortgage rates shown are examples for discussion and may vary by borrower qualifications, loan program, property type, occupancy, LTV, credit score, and market conditions. Not a commitment to lend. Equal Housing Lender. NMLS #246527.

Let us help you!

Our representative will be in touch with you.

* Specific loan program availability and requirements may vary. Please get in touch with your mortgage advisor for more information.